Monday, May 05, 2008

true blue



Can you imagine waking up this November to a map of Texas that looked like this?

Well, neither can we, but we're certainly making progress in that direction.

With Sen. John Cornyn polling under 50% now, polling site Rasmussen Reports has added our junior senator to their "potentially vulnerable" category.

Any incumbent who polls below 50% is considered potentially vulnerable. That is especially true when a little known challenger is so competitive in an early general election match-up. The race for President in Texas is also fairly competitive early in Election 2008.

Noreiga leads among voters earning less than $40,000 a year. Cornyn leads among those with higher incomes. Cornyn leads among Evangelical Christian voters and other Protestants. Noreiga leads among those with a different faith background. Both candidates do well within their own party and are fairly evenly matched among unaffiliated voters.

According to Rasmussen, President Bush is polling with mere 45% approval ratings in Texas. And as reported earlier, Sens. Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are both very competitive in general election polls against Sen. John McCain.

Some have predicted that Texas was cycling blue... but could 2008 be our year?

1 comments:

Big Texsaid...

I think that win or lose, this election will be a turning point for Texas Dems. We're certainly being helped by a bunch of unpopular Republicans, but the demographic trends in this state are a big factor too - a growing Hispanic population, and a new generation of voters who are much more Democrat-friendly and politically motivated.

We have a good chance of knocking off Cornyn, and a decent chance of Obama takng the state's electoral votes as well. Even if we don't, we'll force the Repubs to dump a lot of money into a state that used to be a lock for them. We might also be able to retake the Texas House in this cycle. And if Governor Goodhair is the Repub nominee in 2010, we could pick up the governor's office as well, just in time for redistricting. Yes, things are looking up for us Dems here in Texas.